Archive for April, 2008

OSA Energy Commodity Bubble Burst Dr. Warren Huang

Thursday, April 24th, 2008
Rate cuts and stimulus package help dollar heading to new low and driveing up record oil, commodity prices. These bubble will follow housing bubble burst, in the next round of rate hikes, to boost the dollar, cut inflation later this year. detail on blog and
Comment by Warren Huang  on Wall Street Journal market beat blog- April 23, 2008 at 9:14 pm

OSA Energy Blog : Oil prices heading for 115- 125 as dollar weaken in summer

Tuesday, April 22nd, 2008
I warned on this blog last Sept that aggressive rate cuts can not stop housing price slump , but only drag the dollar to new low ( 1.55-1.65 EURO, 90- 100 Yen, and soaaring oil, commodities price, and inflation, which raises the US import, expanding US trade deficit, the interest ratea spread and trade deficit will drag dollar even lower. Dollar only can be supported by Fed rate hike to fight the inflation. Fed choose to ignore inflation, while switch to rate cuts further help currecny speulators to dump dollar for higher interest rate currency EURO, Pound. Dollar can rebound once Fed stop rate cuts. Oil price has benn benefited by soariing US and global housing, auto, travel market demand for heating oil, fet fuel, gasoline in summer, and weak dollar, further help by rate cuts and stimulus package to support the business and conumer demand. Oil pricewill challenge 115- 125 , gasoline and heating to 355 this summer. detaisl can be found
Comment by Warren Huang Wal Street Journal market beat blog- April 22, 2008 at 1:16 pm

OSA Market Blog Bear market rally is over for correction by Dr. Warren Huang

Tuesday, April 22nd, 2008
Market bull speculator struggling using aggressicve rate cuts, stimulus package, Bear Stearn cash infusion lower expection on Citigroup and IBM, Google earning announcemenet making breakthrough of bear market rally to bull rally in the background of continued housing market slump, manufacturing slowdon, soaring inflation and job cuts plunging consumer confidence recession fear. Bull market can never survive in recession, especialy in current housing bubble burst, prolonged housing price slump resulted recession. We are reaching the limit of current bear market rebound. marekt is facing good correction overvaluation in banking, finace, housing,IT, high fliers stock, ( above 100) consumer products. These shares will give up its recent gain
Comment by Warren Huang  Wall Street Journal Market Beat Blog - April 22, 2008 at 1:27 pm

Housing price slump, drag economic into recession continue

Wednesday, April 16th, 2008
I warned last Sept on this blog that housing price slump continue into summer 2008, drag banking, financial, housing, IT, retails stocks into bear market correction, lead to shrinking hosuing, equities wealth, cutting into consumer, business demand, job cuts drag economics into recession. I also warned that rate cuts and economic stimulus package will not stop housing price slump, but drag dollar lower and led to soaring oil, commodities, food prices and raw material cost, soaring inflation and profit squeez. drag stocks, economic into deeper recession in the month ahead. detailsm on
Comment by Warren Huang -on Wall Street Journal Real TIme Economics April 16, 2008 at 6:38 pm