Archive for February, 2009

The onset and impact of phase II global credit financial crisis, recession

Sunday, February 22nd, 2009

US , EURO, UK  and Japan just entering phase II housing, credit, financial, crisis, recessibn, continuation of phase I, casused by housing bubble burst resulted subprime, mortgage crisis spreading into credit, financial crisis and onset of recession, with housing prices plunged 15 %, resulted equties price bubble burst, stock indices plunged 50 %,( Dow Jones plunged from 14300 to 7300, GDP plunged below -3 %, SP500 from 1500 to 750) Dax from 8500 to 4200, FT from 8000 to 4000),drag oil,  commodities , metal bubble burst 50- 70 %
The phase II banking financial crisis is caused by prolonged housing market slump drag economy  into deep recession,housing prices plunged 25 % and GDP plunge 5 % this year, Japan GDP plunged 12 %, Nikkei index plunged from 19000 to 7300, Dow Jones will plunge to 6000 this year further drag banking and nonbanking into all out deep liquidity, d credit,default , financial crisis and deeper recession, delay the credit market recovery for
highly risky, high yield junk bond leveraged finance and acquisition housing ( will be following housing market slump and recession)

comment to Asian leverage finance, acquisition conference, Feb. 17, 2009, Hong Kong, Greensburg of Goldman Sach on credit market recovery learning process

 

2009 Proactive Structural US/China housing, credit, financial crisis, recession Operations Simulation Analysis

Monday, February 9th, 2009
 on 2009 China/US/Global Monetary, Economic, Stimulus,  Fiscal Bail Out Impact on Housing, Banking, Financial Crisis, Recession Daily Financial Markets Asset Prices, Trillion Dollar Recession Hedge Optimal long-short  strategy lectures      by Dr. Warren Huang lectures, panelist speakers on financial crisis, recession strategy  Feb, March Hong Kong, Pudong QFII/QDII summit  conferences 2009  Phase I  monetary, economic, fiscal policy impact on Global Housing, Equities, Commodities, Bond, Derivatives Asset Prices  Bubble Burst Mechanism and Sub-prime crisis on Daily Prices Dynamics , Subprime, mortgage, Credit crisis, Financial , Systemic Risks   impact on  Recession and  Phase II Global deep recession impact on housing price slump, banking, credit, financial crisis and industrial sectors demand, prices slump and defaults for  Asian private equities, leverage finance acquisition summit  , Feb 16- 17, Hong, Kong  by EuromoneyTrillion Dollar Recession Hedge Optimal long-short ,ultra short strategy for  China Derivatives, Summit Credit, Financial Crisis, Recession Risks Hedging  2009  Conference, Pudong, China, March, 2009      by   EUROMONEY               Trillion Dollar Recession Risks Hedging  2009  Conference, Pudong, China, March, 2009   program           China     China/US 2009 Housing, Financial Crisis,  Recession,, Infrastructure Stimulus Impact on  Economy, Capital Markets    Forecast by Dr. Warren Huang  Proactive Structural Trillion Dollar Recession Hedging, Multiclass Asset, Derivatives Allocation Strategy       by Dr. Warren Huang  website: www.osawh.com   Hyatt Regency, Pudong, Shanghai, Mar 24- 25, 2009 www.osawh.com/mortdefa.htm www.osawh.com/riskm.html